To best explain, I will take some lines from the Calgary Chamber of Commerce's rating of the platforms of each party, as found on the CBC.
One of the most damning accusations was against the Wildrose platform.
In reviewing the Wildrose platform, it seems to be high on promise, but severely light on detail, making it exceedingly difficult to evaluate the feasibility of their proposals
Wildrose already has enough problems with a robot leader stuck in a "low taxes" feedback loop. In fact even in that article I just linked to, the conclusion is maybe not a social conservative and actually will keep taxes low.
The entire Wildrose campaign rings hollow. The party has only come up with one thing that truly differentiates themselves from the others and that is taxes, they want to balance the budget with cuts alone. Most Albertans do not want that, they realize that Prentice's tax hikes are rather mild and needed, even the aforementioned Chamber of Commerce is a fan of progressive income taxes.
Beyond that, Wildrose has a lot of commitments that don't seem to be thought out. The Wildrose budget; page 5 BTW, clearly says they will get the plurality of their money from a combo of the following:
Ending corporate grants
"Zero-based budgeting" - IE turning Alberta budgets into US style budgets
Auditor General value audits
and a "Wastebuster" program.
Now I can't say I know how many corporate grants Alberta gives out, but the rest of this? Well first, lets talk about Zero-based budgeting. All that really will do is give them the ability to hack and slash away at any social program they feel like if revenues don't match expectations. The remainder of these all assume that there are billions upon billions of government waste in Alberta.
In addition, the budget seems to think you can just cut half of all healthcare managers without any ill effects. Other cuts they plan could easily be opposed by public sector unions.
In fact the only way this makes sense is if you presume this is written so poorly on purpose so they can burn down the social welfare net once they get in to office and claim it was - after all - in their platform, it was just hidden in strange wording is all.
Wildrose is running a hollow campaign, with a hollow leader. The things I noted previously in troublesome polls - that people under-report having voted last time for a certain party, and, are super enthusiastic about voting for them this time - all show up in Wildrose numbers. Where I don't see such problems is with the NDP.
As such, I've come to the personal conclusion that Wildrose is being over-estimated by many. Despite the polls, I think the party will likely end up in third on election day, not second, and not first.
We could still see a minority, and a NDP-Wildrose government is not as crazy as some might think it is, but I highly doubt we will see Wildrose forming a majority of their own.