I decided to prepare some maps for the impending New Brunswick election.
The summer is usually quiet-time politically; so to fill the void, I've decided to take a look at various provinces.
First up is New Brunswick which has an election this fall.
My prediction map is ready to go, and like Newfoundland, I don't see any way to stop the Liberal steamroller.
Despite this, it is the South Eastern group of Acadians who have been the most loyal to the Liberal party over the decades. Federally, for example, they have only once elected a non-Liberal MP, and that is in the history of Canada since 1867. Riding 15 in particular, that of the recent interim Liberal leader, appears to have never voted anything else. I've attempted to find evidence that this area has -ever- voted anything except Liberal and failed to do so. The Current Liberal Leader is also from the South East; he will win in riding #14.
It is the NDP though that have collected the most interesting assortment of candidates. I've boosted their chances where they've been able to grab a former MLA from another party, and this is in more than one instance. A former PC MLA is running for them in #27, one that was famous enough to get in the news frequently enough while I lived in the province. Two former Liberals are also running, one in #33, and another in #40, both ridings have strong NDP showings without them, and they could easily take the ridings for the party. The NDP also has a strong candidate in #32, one of their better showings. It seems like the party may be willing to put the resources it needs in focused ridings in order to win seats.
I will, of course, keep you all updated on how this all plays out.