Friday, May 23, 2014

Ontario Prediction Update - averages

The roughly calculated poll averaged for Teddy's Ontario prediction are as follows:


I'm putting this out today - without much commentary as there is not much to say - and tomorrow and sunday I'll be reviewing both the PC-leaning and OLP-leaning polls as blocks to show what could happen if one party has a clear lead over the other.

As for commentary the only thing to say at this time is NDP momentum. The Liberals and Tories continue to swap the lead every second poll, but the NDP has been rather strong in the past few polls, and that could indicate some momentum on their part.

The Debates will be on June 3rd, two Tuesdays from now. It will likely not be until the following week - the week of the election - that we finally get some clarity in the polls.

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