Earl Andrew, of the Canadian Election Atlas, has a great post on Montreal. I recommend checking it out.
His adding of all the various popular votes is what I was doing before realizing the view counts for my Montreal posts were rather low. Adding earl's figures we get the following:
425,230 - 30.8% - all EDC candidates combined
387,079 - 28.1% - all PM candidates combined
235,921 - 17.1% - all VCM candidates combined
228,319 - 16.5% - all CM candidates combined
103,060 - 07.5% - Everybody Else
It's clear Bergeron deserves to be Opposition leader.
I also can't help but notice how well his vote matches that of traditional NDP support:
I've decided to apply the same logic I did in my two different posts on Congress, and try to figure out what the "real" Senate standings are. It was quite simple really. Results are below. They are based on how Senators voted for/against the expulsion motions.
In the Provinces we've had a few changes.
In Newfoundland (legislature) party standings look like this.
PC - 35
Lib - 7
NDP - 3
Ind-NDP - 2
Vacant - 1
In PEI we have this:
Lib - 23
PC - 3
Ind - 1
Alberta has this:
PC - 59
Wld - 17
Lib - 5
NDP - 4
Ind - 2
There are Vacancies in places like Manitoba and Quebec, but they are in such solid ridings that the end result won't change.
The biggest changes are in the provinces I've outlined.
In Alberta, the changes we've seen are due to MLAs doing things which are - how to say - not quite right. One of them was caught - "accused" - trying to pay for sex, or something of the sort.
It is in PEI and Newfoundland where we find opposition parties that are tearing themselves apart. We may, as a result of this, see the PEI NDP do very well while the NL NDP does very poorly.
Also to note is the number of Federal independents we currently have. Some of them may be able to win their seats in the next federal election. I've done a bit of research and it seems that a few things happen to Independent MPs who run for re-election
1 - They are usually able to retain at least 10% of the vote they received while running for a political party.
2 - They frequently are able to suck up votes from all the other parties (IE the one they were not a member of) likely under the guise of thus being able to beat said party.
3 - Least frequently, but it happens, is that they are able to hold on to the vote from their own party.
Thus the question is who among Heyer, Rathgeber, and Mourani will be able to to some or all of these 3 and hold on to their seats.
I encourage comments and feedback on that. Which of these 3 Independent MPs do you believe will have the support needed to be re-elected?