A 3-way tie for first. This image from the CTV website explains it all.
We effectively have a e-way tie for first.
The NDP growth seems to be at the expense of the Green Party. If I had to venture a guess, it'd be that Greens are upset with the Tories and want to ensure they are defeated, so are willing to vote strategically for the NDP to see this happen.
While I have a strong feeling - and am pretty sure - this has happened before; I can't quickly and off-hand find another poll showing this; so relish this three way tie between the NDP, Liberals, and Conservatives while you can.
What is coming up?
On November 1st I will be releasing a new "Teddy's ElectoMatic" and federal maps. I'm mostly done and just need to (literally) plug in all the numbers.
Following that, I will start a province-by-province examination of "what's going on" as well as other details. For example, the Newfoundland post will include the recent troubles of the NDP - a full history - as well as an election map in my usual style, and a provincial ElectoMatic for that province. I'm unsure where I will start, but will try to come up with something for a province if/when politics in that province are in the news (as Newfoundland is right now)
I hope to have this provincial series done by the end of the year; which will then have all provinces ready to go with maps and ElectosMatic for the 2014.