Wednesday, September 11, 2013

More non-Canadian elections, plus Nova Scotia

Teddy here with a few things to mention. First, I've decided to stop introducing myself at the top of each post I do; I think you guys are familiar with who I am by now, and my style, and can check the username at the bottom. I'll only differentiate if I cover a topic that Kyle has already done.

Secondly, there is an election in Nova Scotia, one that has been expected for quite some time. The date is set for October 8th. They had a mini-debate last night which I watched. My impressions were Baillie showed why he was in third place, but all were competent enough to deserve their standings in the polls. The NDP has a difficult record to defend and with the Tories spending half the debate accusing the NDP of being too pro-business, and the Liberals committing to no tax hikes in the first term, the PC Party seems to be a bit squeezed out in terms of right-wing area from which to campaign.

The Liberals, thus (from my read) are still on track for a victory. Given the lack of attacks from the Liberals on the Tories and the Tories on the Liberals, there *might* be a chance for a Liberal-PC deal after the election if the Liberals only win a minority.

There were elections in other countries as well.

In Norway the Conservatives won their first government in decades.

The Conservatives are part of an alliance the Norwegian media calls the "Bourgeoisie" alliance; or what I call the "Right Alliance" since it's far easier to spell.

The Right Alliance has remained together, more or less, for quite some time; with parties sometimes adding or dropping from the Alliance. Recently, it was the Centre Party that left the Alliance to sit in coalition with Labour. The current Alliance is made up of the Conservatives, the Liberals, and the Christian Democrats, but also the Progressive Party.

Despite the name, the Progressives are actually rather right-wing, described to me once by a Norwegian, as Norway's answer to the US Republican Party. They are anti-immigration, and support cutting taxes and services if needed.

For years, the Progressives were considered too radical to deal with, but a decade of the party finishing in second place has caused many to change their mind. The current 'debate' is if the Christian Democrats and Liberals are willing to sit in official coalition with them (they seem to be willing to offer the government unofficial support) and signs currently point towards a "yes they will" answer to the question.

Full results are as follows:


I've been able to record a large number of results in graphic table format for the election, for which counting is still ongoing.

I've also been able to delve deeper into how the Parliament treats the Country Liberals and the Liberal Nationals. It seems that the CLP allows it's Senators and MPs to sit with whatever party they choose. The LNP divides certain divisions as National divisions and others as Liberal, and, tries to aim to have at least 1 National Senator for each half of the Senate. I've thus divided the popular vote accordingly.

1 comment:

  1. The final image helps explain how parties like the Sports Party could win a seat. Notice that 2.1% of the vote in that state was for smaller parties, and, that 13% of the vote in the state was for other microparties (a term the Australian media uses)

    A party that wins a seat on 0.2% of the vote might be crazy, but when you consider that the microparties almost always preference one another before the larger parties, you thus must consider that the Senator did not win with 0.2% of the vote, but with 13% of the vote, which is far more reasonable.