I may have found something that should flag it as a possible problem.
The recent Forum poll that came out has a huge Liberal lead of 44% to 27% for the Conservatives, a lead far greater than the 2000 election results for Jean Chretien over the Canadian Alliance. Its good news for Liberals, and that kind of lead would be understandable given the recent scandals that have hit the Cons. The NDP sit far back at 20%, probably really wishing Jack Layton was still with us and they weren't stuck with this apparent loser.
But, before everyone says how cool this is, I just saw the Alberta regional numbers. And... well, look:
Erm... the Liberals at 42% in Alberta? Yeah, I have some serious doubts about that.
But that brings up an interesting possibility. What if that was real? Here's what my projections came up with:
Very, very interesting. While I think both Edmonton Griesbach and Edmonton Strathcona would flip in the event of this kind of Liberal tide (though, who knows where all those former NDPers would go), its pretty clear that the Liberals would practically sweep both Edmonton and Calgary, in the addition to Lethbridge and Medicine Hat in the south. That would be quite the amazing feat, if it was possible.
However, it is very probably not possible. Not in my, or your, lifetime. Just not happening, not without a miracle. But its nice to dream.