Teddy here with a quick reference guide to the election in British Columbia. First, some links that may be useful:
Media and other Info sources:
Our "Competition" for BC Election Projections:
http://www.tooclosetocall.ca/ (bilingual author)
http://www.threehundredeight.com/ (the big one)
http://bciconcoclast.blogspot.ca/ (More focus on analysis, like here at Blunt Objects)
http://cdnelectionwatch.blogspot.ca/ (not active this election?)
http://canadianelectionatlas.blogspot.ca/ (great source for maps)
http://www.electionprediction.org/2013_bc/index.php (Veteran of the field)
I've examined, quickly, some of the ridings and have these thoughts:
BC Conservative leader, John Cummins, is running in one of the most right-wing areas of the province. He could win.
Paul Forsyth, a former MP, is also running for the BC Conservatives. His name could help him gain a few points, and this might be all that's needed to push him over the top as well.
The Greens could manage to take a seat or more in the Greater Victoria area; including the seat being contested by leader Jane Sterk.
And in general:
Polls have stabilized at about a 45 VS 30 level. This compares to 55 VS 20 in the 2001 landslide. In fact, you have to go back to 1972 to find a split electorate matching these margins. In that election the NDP won 38 seats to Social Credit's 10, while the Liberals took 5, and the PC Party took 2. Making adjustments for polling, modern politics, and additional seats, the 1972 election would suggest the following results: N57 L22 C2 G2 I2
And lastly, ridings that may be interesting to keep an eye on:
Peace River North
Oak Bay-Gordon Head