Tuesday, April 16, 2013

Kent By-election Follow-up

As per my promise in my previous post on the Kent, New Brunswick by-election, I'm taking a quick look at the results of the race that finished last night.

Kent By-election
Brian Gallant (Lib): 3,543 votes - 59.1% (+3.4%)
Susan Levi-Peters (NDP): 1,615 votes - 26.9% (+11.6%)
Jimmy Bourque (PC): 837 votes - 14.0% (-11.8%)

As expected, New Brunswick Liberal Leader Brian Gallant easily won the by-election, even improving upon the percentage that former Premier and favourite son Shawn Graham managed in 2010. Turnout only decreased slightly, with 69.5% turnout from somewhere around 75% in the general election. That is a pretty good sign for Gallant, given that low turnout would have meant disinterest, something a new leader desperately needs to avoid.

The big jump for the NDP must also put a smile on a few faces, though one has to wonder if Dominic Cardy had run, he could have made it competitive. For the PCs, its a disappointment, and leaves me scratching my head as to why they even ran a candidate - they originally waffled on the idea of not running one, to allow Gallant a free ride to the legislature. Now they've simply allowed him a ride into Fredericton while embarrassing themselves in the process.

So, a new era begins in New Brunswick with Gallant ready to take on the hapless David Alward. I feel that NBers should be pretty confident in their chances to get a competent government into power by the next election, just like their fellows in Nova Scotia. They're going to be the heralds of Liberal renewal in Canada, so if you can, lend these faithful Liberals your support!


  1. the real thing to notice is the increase in NDP vote. the increase of the NDP across atlantic canada could be a double edged sword as seen in N.S. because Mulcair will have to deal with atlantic canadians experience with the NDP. then again it could lead to the decline of the Libs and a possible suport base in Alt. To sum up the times they are a changing

    1. Well, the NDP rise didn't lead to the decline of the Liberals in this case.

    2. no but look at Newfoundland. who is seen as the real opposition to the PC's in all the polls its the NDP while in N.S. it's the Liberals. just saying its only a by election

    3. Oh no you're right, I'm not disagreeing. Not sure the same case will be found in NB, though. The NDP do have momentum in the province, but they've yet to win a by-election, even under favourable circumstances.