Everyone's favourite Atlantic Canada pollster (well, the only Atlantic Canada pollster of any note, anyways), Corporate Research Associates, came out with a new poll for the federal scene, showing the Liberals with good growth since November 2011, the last time they took this poll.
Using province-specific projections, and with the redistributed seats, I got the following:
NL: 4 Liberal, 2 New Democrat, 1 Conservative
NS: 6 Liberal, 3 New Democrat, 2 Conservative
PEI: 4 Liberal
NB: 6 Conservative, 3 Liberal, 1 New Democrat
In total, that is 17 Liberals, 9 Conservatives, and 6 NDP. Roughly similar to the 2008 results for the region, except with a boosted NDP presence.
Now the question, of course, is why? Nova Scotia may be easy to explain, with the unpopularity of the Dexter government right now, with the Liberals probably picking up a lot of support in the Halifax area. Newfoundland's federal Conservatives are an unpopular bunch right now, while the NDP are rather popular, even provincially seeing a good rise in support. PEI is a little wonky, maybe due to small sample size, though I could believe those numbers too. New Brunswick settled back into the 2008 numbers, almost exactly, and that Conservative province remains fairly Conservative.
It'll be interesting to see if these numbers hold when the next Liberal leader is chosen. Justin's hypothetical numbers are usually in the high 40's to low 50's for the entire Atlantic region, which would equal a near sweep for sure, a la 1993. If its another person, however, at least these numbers seem pretty good for a the party, chugging along as it is.