Tuesday, April 3, 2012

Think HQ #AbVote Poll - 43% Wildrose, 30% PC

This Think HQ poll is now the fourth poll in a row to show the Wildrosers moving far ahead of the PCs, with a 13-point lead over Premier Redford's Progressive Conservatives. Below are the changes in popular vote and seats from their last poll:

ThinkHQ Poll:
Wildrose: 43% (+10) - 61 seats (+31)
Prog Cons: 30% (-6) - 20 seats (-28)
New Dems: 12% (-1) - 6 seats (-1)
Liberals: 11% (-2) - 0 seats (-2)
Alberta: 3% (+1)

This poll also has some approval/disapproval ratings, which are as follows:

Alison Redford: 
48% approve, 43% disapprove (45-45 in Calgary, 45-43 in Edmonton)
Danielle Smith: 
56% approve, 32% disapprove (57-30 in Calgary, 50-42 in Edmonton)
Brian Mason: 
29% approve, 46% disapprove (23-45 in Calgary, 42-41 in Edmonton)
Raj Sherman: 
30% approve, 48% disapprove (33-42 in Calgary, 37-47 in Edmonton)

Goes to show why neither Sherman nor Mason are catching fire in this campaign, despite the existence of the ever-hoped-for right-wing vote split. It's also highly amusing that Sherman has the highest disapproval rating of the leaders, despite being relatively low profile. Maybe it's just the whole "Liberal" thing.

2 comments:

  1. It's interesting that as the PC Party gets weaker, the Liberals are going from having all of their "possible wins" in Edmonton, to having all of them in Calgary.

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  2. It is, though its not surprising. 4/5 of their Calgary incumbents are still running, including the popular David Swann and Kent Hehr. They'd likely keep those seats versus Sherman keeping Meadowlark or Blakeman keeping Edmonton Centre.

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