Con: 37% (+1)
NDP: 28% (=)
Liberal: 25% (-1)
Bloc: 5% (-1)
Green: 4% (+1)
Seat totals are 143 Con, 76 NDP, 73 Liberal, 15 Bloc, 1 Green. A near-tie for OffOpp, lovely.
I do get it, but at the same time, I don't. It's clear that this robocall thing is big, but its also under the radar enough, and not so related to today's major issues (economy, debt, healthcare), add on to the fact that there is no clear line drawn yet (or at least, the case hasn't been made as effectively as it should be), I can see why it escapes the attention of most voters. But then switch back to that recent Angus Reid poll, and its clear most Canadians don't approve, including a healthy minority of Conservative voters, about 30%. So what the hell is this?
Because I refuse to pay for a subscription, just take a look here at 308.com's write-up to see the regionals. The truly interesting province is, as always, Quebec, where Forum agrees with Nanos' high placing of the Liberals. The NDP are still below 30%, and all polls agree they're just over or under that.
Of course, following another Forum poll, it switches around. With Mulcair, the NDP would get 40% in Quebec; 18% under Peggy Nash; and 20% under Brian Topp. Pretty clear who's the best choice there, at least right out of the gate.
Don't get too excited, though - the Liberals are struggling in Ontario, according to Forum, tied with the NDP at 29% a piece. Remember the days when we regularly hit 35% in Ontario and thought that was low? I do.
What's dragging us down? Could be McGuinty, could be Rae, could simply be the new order of things. But it's our party's biggest problem right now in terms of where we need to (first) rebuild. If we can't win back Ontario, the rest won't matter.