We here at Blunt Objects wish you and yours a happy new year, 2012. Here are some things to look forward to in the new year.
Minority in Ontario.
Minorities mean that an election can be called at any time, but probably wont. Expect to see frequent speculation in the media about weather or not we are about to head into an election. So far both opposition parties have shown no desire to trigger one, and personally, I don't see that changing for the spring, and likely, also the fall.
Fun in Quebec.
Hard to describe what's going in Quebec, chaotic perhaps, but fun for us politics watchers. Will there be an election? It's possible, but I have my doubts that Charest would take the plunge while in second place in the polls. There is always the chance that the CAQ, bolstered by a merger with the ADQ, could steal a few MNA's from the PLQ, and if they take enough, they could force the government into a minority situation. Would the official opposition, with polls saying they would lose the overwhelming majority of their seats, back such a move? The ADQ did in 2007, so anything is possible.
Alison Redford is running for Premier sometime between March 1st and May 31st. This is a job she already has, but she wants to win it in a general election for the first time. Her main opponent is Danielle Smith from Wildrose, who takes a much more right-wing and lean government approach compared to Redford's truly progressive conservatism. The Liberals in the province are in some trouble sadly. Redford, in any other province, would be a Liberal, and fighting such a challenge will not be easy.
Harper's majority was seen as the end of excitement from Ottawa by some, but scandals have bridged the gap to the NDP leadership race, and if Harper keeps to his patterns, there will be some more unexpected controversy to discuss between the end of the NDP race and the Liberal race in '13. In addition, there is the (very small) chance of an election in BC (unlikely given the polls), and a (very) slightly higher chance of an election in Nova Scotia. I personally am keeping on eye on the latter, as Dexter's numbers have been trending up, and if I was Dexter, I'd go sooner rather than later.