While it's not a totally established trend yet, it appears that the Coalition pour l'Avenir du Québec and it's leader François Legault are facing an increasing downward trend in Quebec's provincial polling:
This is down quite a bit from the previous year's polling, which usually put the CAQ above at least 34% of the vote. It's even more when you consider that the combined CAQ and ADQ polling of September to November 2011 amounted to over 40% of the decided vote.
Unfortunately, the polls done so far are only Léger and CROP polling. But they're out at regular enough intervals to give us a good view of the situation in Quebec. Both are usually reliable so we'll continue on with this.
This comes in the wake of the ADQ merger, so it's not hard to draw a correlation between that event and this apparent decline. Is it possible that Legault's new association with the old adequistes is giving the new party a smell? Or are the pequistes, who just recently had a rah-rah meeting, and les libéraux just benefitting from some wind in their sails for some reason?