The Liberal lead over the Progressive Conservatives appears to be solidifying as the parties approach the Oct. 6 election, according to an EKOS Research poll released to iPolitics Monday.I mean, I don't know how much faith to put in this, but Ekos is somewhat OK as a pollster, and I find them good in identifying trends overall - which leads me to conclude that the OLP is pulling slightly ahead in the final days.
... “Certainly, the Liberals are in the lead, and I think they improved their position,” said EKOS president Frank Graves. “I think we’re seeing a steady improvement in Liberal fortunes in the last part of the campaign.”
The last poll EKOS conducted, which was released to iPolitics on Sept. 27, showed the Liberals with 35 per cent, the PCs with 31 per cent and the NDP with 25 per cent.
Graves points out that the televised leaders’ debate, which occurred Sept. 27, did not seem to have a huge effect on voter intention.
But, because of the oddness surrounding it's circumstance, I'm only putting it at half the weight I would normally. Time will tell if this is the right decision. Other pollsters, however, like today's Nanos, will be fully weighted.
If you're curious, these numbers would result in 60 seats for the OLP, 27 seats for the PCs, and 20 seats for the NDP. These numbers are reinforced by the fact that roughly 60% find Ontario is moving in the "right direction."