Wednesday, September 14, 2011

NDP Leadership Poll


I know what you're thinking: someone here, in Canada, had the brilliance to poll the NDP leadership race? Not only that, they did it days after Layton's passing? Before anyone knew who the candidates were, or cared?


Well, it was commissioned by the Sun, so maybe we shouldn't be too surprised.

The results are stupid: 14% backed Thomas Mulcair and Olivia Chow; 9% backed Liberal Leader Bob Rae (er?), and 3% backed Brian Topp and current NDP Leader Nycole Turmel.

And 51% of respondents didn't know or didn't care.

Did anyone expect different? Not only is it way too soon, it's utterly useless to poll for a leadership race. Not only is this Canada, where no one cares, but the majority of the prospective candidates are unknown and will stay that way until a) they say something controversial, or b) they win.

Then again, we have some evidence that polls of leadership races are useful. Take the one done during the 2006 Liberal leadership race. It had Iggy at 19%, Rae at 17%, Dion at 13%, Kennedy at 9%, and so on, with 27% undecided.

Now, in truth, the first ballot results had Iggy, Rae, Dion, Kennedy, and the rest of them, all in order, as it was in the poll, even if the numbers didn't add up properly.

So, maybe there is some merit to this poll for the Dipper race. I mean, considering it has Olivia Chow (who declined to run) and Bob Rae (who is, you know, otherwise occupied), it's utterly useless now. But I can see where it was going.

Still, useless.


  1. Perhaps one of our bright polling companies might think to poll the views of Canadians as a whole and Dippers as a subcategory, regarding their agreement with the current NDP policy of nationalizing manufacturing and distribution companies, and using all economic assets for purposes other than making profits ...

    Now, THAT would be an interesting poll!

    And perhaps that polling company might then also ask for views regarding the proposed replacement preamble.

    And regarding Topp's (and the NDP's) policy of giving the province of Quebec a minimum of 25% of seats in our Parliament even if over time the number of people in that province fall far below that percentage ...

  2. Good points, Cat. I don't think I say that often!