While the NDP are powering ahead in one unreliable poll and one reliable, a new riding poll out questions how much of a reality we are exactly facing.
A poll done by Segma Marketing for Le Droit and 104.7 CKOI shows a much tighter race than expected in Gatineau, one that the NDP should slightly be worried about, even though it gives them a lead.
Segma's last poll, which gave them 15.5% of the vote.
I don't have the exact link to this poll yet, just the numbers which came from Alice, who runs Pundit's Guide, on Twitter, but who I trust to not be taking things out of the air. It also confirms something, which makes me think its credible.
What it confirms is that on the ground, at least in these riding polls, the NDP aren't doing hilariously well. This was also confirmed by CROP, though to a lesser extent by Leger, the former who did some polling on Quebec City ridings, the latter in Abitibi ridings.
Because while these numbers are good for the New Democrats, they highlight that even if they can get amazing numbers in Quebec, riding-by-riding they may be a tad weak. Given that both the Bloc and the Liberal candidates are only 4% behind Boivin in Gatineau, it may be a sign that the NDP should expect some positives out of Quebec come May 2nd, but not a lot of surprises.