Not really what I expected when I heard that Ekos had "big changes" to come, lots of narrowing to be had, and whatnot - only to find out that it's because the Cons dropped and the NDP rose. Jeesh.
Topline numbers as follows: 33.8% Con (-2.4), 28.8% Lib (+1.1), 19.1% NDP (+2.5), 7.8% Bloc (-0.5), and 9% Green (+0.5).
Don't get me wrong, a 5.5% Con lead is better than an 8.5% Con lead, but this really isn't "significant narrowing.." It's just outside of the margin of error.
Anyways, some notables include a still saggy Bloc result in Quebec with 31.1%, though the NDP now sit with 21.0%, compared to 19.7% Lib and 18.2% Con, nothing tremendously different from what we've seen out of some other polls.
However, for all their second-placing in Quebec, the NDP are performing badly in Ontario with 13.6% of the vote, while the Cons barely lead with 38% compared to 37.8% for the Liberals.
Not all bad for the Dippers however, as they come in first in BC with 36.8%, with Cons at a low 26.4% and the Libs at an OK 22.9% - but understand that the margin of error is 9.1%. Small sample sizes strike again.
Overall, this poll isn't as surprising as expected. It follows the other polling trends recently minus the few blips due to small samples. Way to disappoint, Ekos.