Thursday, April 7, 2011

Bloc at 28% in Quebec!.... wait, what?

Yep, that's according to the most recent Ekos poll, out basically today, which gives the Bloc Quebecois only 28.3% in Quebec, compared to 26.8% for the Liberals, 19.4% for the Conservatives, and 17.7% for the NDP.

Your guess is as good as mine at this point. While Nanos has been showing lower-than-usual Bloc numbers, as low as 33.8%, this is just total and utter collapse of the Bloc's vote. Could they really be hurting that badly in Quebec?

In other news, Ekos shows the narrowing of the Ontario race, as reported by both Nanos and a smaller poll company called Innovative Research, as reported by The Cons went from 41.6% to 38.1%, while the Libs jumped up from 32.2% to 34.6%. That's a close race.


  1. Did you notice that the N for the first week was 700 or so, while the N for the second week was closer to 200?

    Not really directly comparable, I wouldn't say.

  2. You know, I'd agree, but there's a trend afoot...

  3. stop looking so much into the regional numbers. They are all over the map from polling company to polling company. Random sampling theory says that the national numbers should be fairly accurate. 95% of the time it should be within the margin of error... but that's a bit misleading too since no polling company comes close to random sampling theory, because it's impossible, and each polling company does something different to compensate for it.

  4. Although I would hope and agree with you Volkov that there is a trend. I don't honestly think there is. At least not that big of one so soon. I think one poll, makes a trend not. But I will agree that this does mean something the thing is we don't know yet.