Monday, September 27, 2010
Liberal Premier Shawn Graham of New Brunswick has pretty much lost his mandate in tonight's election, to no one's surprise. What is surprising is the size of the loss. Graham will most likely not remain as leader of the NB Liberals, for better or for worse.
Progressive Conservative Leader David Alward is pretty much ascertained the premiership, after only one term for Graham's Liberals, a historic win for this moderate voice whom no one gave a chance.
And finally, the three also-ran parties: the NDP failed to win even one seat as of 10:00 PM ADT, with leader Roger Duguay coming in second in his riding of Tracadie-Sheila, falling behind the PC incumbent by over 10%. The Greens have so far had a good first result with 4% of the vote across the province, and leader Jack McDougall getting about 10% in his riding. And finally, the small People's Alliance failed to make barely a showing.
As of 10:00 PM, the count is 41 PCs, 14 Liberals. My prediction? Alward wins handily tonight, and suffers tomorrow, as all Premiers before him have. Just ask Shawn Graham.